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Canadian CRE Good Investment Perhaps

Author: admin / Category: Canadian Real Estate, Commercial Real Estate

Canadian commercial real estate may be a profitable investment in coming years, Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd. Chief Executive Officer Prem Watsa said.

“Commercial real estate is interesting, because of course it’s got the refinancing risk that’s coming in, particularly in the United States,” Watsa said today at a private-equity conference sponsored by ACG Toronto. “In the next few years, we think that might be an area that you might want to invest in.

”Watsa, 59, said there are fewer investment opportunities now than there were a year ago, when stock markets had dropped by about 50 percent and there were “many, many opportunities.” The head of Toronto-based Fairfax since 1985, Watsa has patterned his company after Warren Buffett’s model of value investing.

“Value investing means trying to figure out what a company’s worth, and buying it significantly at a discount,” Watsa said.

via Canada Real Estate May Be Good Investment, Watsa Says Update2 – Bloomberg.com.

Multifamily Distress Doubles

Author: admin / Category: US Real Estate

Distress is piling up in the multifamily market, but it’s still not as bad as the other real estate sectors, according to the Trouble Assets Radar from New York-based Real Capital Analytics (RCA).
According to the report, 588 apartment communities totalling $8.1B fell into distress (defined as default, foreclosure or bankruptcy) in June.
Apartment Finance Today AFT – September/October 2009 [8 - 9].

Starwood-Led Group Raises the Extended Stay Stakes – WSJ.com

Author: admin / Category: US Real Estate

In an escalating battle over the largest U.S. hotel bankruptcy, a group of creditors led by Starwood Capital Group is trying to wrest control of the bankruptcy of Extended Stay Inc., people familiar with the matter said.The investor group — including Fortress Investment Group LLC, D.E. Shaw Group and Five Mile Capital Partners LLC — is proposing to buy Extended Stay's $4.1 billion first mortgage, which was carved up into commercial-mortgage-backed securities, or CMBS, for $3.5 billion, these people say. The offer calls for the group to put in more than $700 million in new equity and most of the existing bondholders to continue holding their debt, known in financial circles as “rolling” their positions.

via Starwood-Led Group Raises the Extended Stay Stakes – WSJ.com.

Fitch Ratings: Large Hotels Defaulting on Loans at High Rate

Author: admin / Category: US Real Estate

As the commercial real estate market continues its downward decline, a new Fitch Ratings report indicates that large hotels lead loans of concern for U.S. CMBS with eight newly defaulted loans greater than $100 million entering special servicing, according to Fitch’s ‘What’s in Special Servicing’ U.S. CMBS report.

Recent defaults include two hotel portfolios: Red Roof Inn and Extended Stay. Since Fitch’s last update in April, $17.4 billion in Fitch-rated loans have entered special servicing, which does not include the Extended Stay Portfolio, which on its own totals more than $4 billion.

via Fitch Ratings: Large Hotels Defaulting on Loans at High Rate.

The Lynes’ Roar – July 2009 – Volume 2, Issue 7

Author: admin / Category: Newsletter, The Lynes' Roar
Volume #2 Issue #7 2009

Julia and DanielWe are heading into the third quarter of 2009, and already this year’s looking considerably different from 2008.  We’ve had a large dip from the peak of the last decade’s housing bubble, and last month we had some up tempo buying in the low end of the housing market in Vancouver.  We’ve seen a lot of market insiders suggesting that we’ve ridden out the bumps in the market place and that we’re going to see a very gradual increase in prices until 2010, when the market is supposed to go back to normal.  Based on what we’ve seen for prices on the historical charts (from BC Real Estate Association’s own data), we believe we’re heading for another price correction in the market place that will be happening sometime between September, 2009 and the end of 2010.  After that, we believe there’ll be a bit of a flattening out before the market returns to normal again in Q4 2010 to Q3 2011.  We’re starting to see price corrections in the commercial real estate market now, too.  Apartment buildings that were selling for 6-7% cap rates in Kitchener, Cambridge, Hamilton are now starting to sell for 8-12% cap rates.  Yippee, it is now a better time to shop for apartment buildings!  As the market unfolds in Southern Ontario and Vancouver, we will be sure to keep you updated.

Hold is Gold

How can you sell your property in a declining market?  Our answer would be don’t.  Hold is gold.  How do we know that?  Been there, done that.  We have tested the market by hiring a top 1% Realtor to sell a condo for us.  After doing our homework by researching the sold comparables, we decided to discount our listing price by 15% from the average sold price and 10% from similar competition listings.  That creates a competitive edge.  Even if there might not be a feeding frenzy, there should be a couple of offers within the first month.  The verdict is no offers despite the high number of showings.  We kind of know the market to expect a worst case scenario and our exit strategy is only to try it for a month or two; our Realtor understands and agrees to that.

The 1st month of your listing is the most critical stage to attract buyers.  If you price it right, you would normally end up with multiple offers within the 1st month of the sale.  Otherwise, your property can be on the market for months as we have seen on a recently sold unit which takes 8 months.  In today’s hot buyers market, you need to plan DOUBLE EXIT strategies: use a competitive price as listing price yet sticking to your price point to sell; if it doesn’t sell, you either use it for yourself or rent it out until the market turns around.  On the other hand, if you are buying in today’s market, you don’t necessarily wait for the market to reach the lowest because you never know when the market hits the bottom.  Instead, you buy when the market hits your price point.  Some smart buyers are monitoring their dream property listings every week.  When their price point is met, they make their move.

May “Faith” Inspire Faith in Us All

We thank Aggie Chan, one of our readers, who shares an amazing inspiration with us, from Faith, the dog!  Faith was born with two legs on Christmas Eve in 2002.  His mother didn’t want him.  His first owner didn’t think that he could survive and thought of putting Faith to sleep.  But then, his present owner, Jude Stringfellow, met him and wanted to take care of him.  She determined to teach and train this little dog to walk by himself.  She named him Faith.  In the beginning, she put Faith on a surfboard to let him feel the movement.  Later she used peanut butter on a spoon as a lure for him for standing up and jumping around.  Miraculously, after 6 months, Faith learned to balance on his hind legs and to jump to move forward.  Not only that, Faith could now walk like a human being.  Read more about Faith, and see more pictures of him.

Faith, The DogLet us be thankful for what we have.  When we wake up every morning, It is a blessing to all of us to be able to open up our eyes to see the blue sky, to walk to the garden to touch and smell some beautiful rose blossoms.  Faith has been trained to get out of his comfort zone and now he’s touring around the world to inspire the human race.  May each one of you be inspired by Faith to get out of your comfort zone to live your dream: your life – your freedom. 

A Big Celebration in a Small Town

Happy 142nd birthday to Canada!  We,Fireworks Extravaganza Over Caledonia Canadians, take this day to sit back and reflect on this wonderful country that offer us the ability to live a safe and harmonious life like nowhere else on planet earth.  Likewise, happy birthday to American’s Independence Day to some of our American readers!  We have a blastful of festivities from dawn to dusk in Caledonia.  You can enjoy a complimentary pancake & sausage breakfast at 8 am, watch the parade, participate in a craft show, attend a Citizenship Ceremony, take your kids to see the children’s group performers and the Steven Young memorial duck race.  The Tianna Woods Band is one of the performances we enjoy the most.  Tianna Woods is such a multi-talented high energy singer with a vibrant voice almost as good as Celine Dion.  Wouldn’t you believe you can also enjoy a 15-minute firework extravaganza in a small little town of  9000 people?  For that, we have to thank all the sponsoring vendors and volunteers for their generosity and time.

Application With the Highest and Best Use

After spending much time, money and energy learning about real estate investing, it is time to apply the knowledge and take massive action.  First, we set a short term goal to acquire our first 20+ unit apartment building with a deadline.  Our project can be in any towns in Southern Ontario, which has qualified for 9 out of the 12 economic fundamentals set up by Don Campbell.  We analyze any properties with the highest potential for growth and increased property value besides cash flow.  For generating leads, we run marketing campaigns.

What is the highest and best use of your time, talent, and skillset?   Your most valuable resource is going to be your time.  The beauty is that you can leverage other people’s expertise and time to maximize your effort to do a project for your business.  To operate a successful real estate investing business, you need to set up a power team.  A power team would have: commercial real estate attorney, accountant, inspector, tradespeople, realtors, appraiser, architect, title company, insurance broker, mortgage broker and most importantly, a good property management company or building manager.   Realize that no man or woman is an island, and that the success or failure of your efforts in real estate is going to largely depend on the quality of the relationships that  you create.

Search Engine Ranking of Your Website

The Internet plays a large part in our future.  How well are you marketing your website?  As a property owner, you’re probably always wondering just how good that property manager is that’s been around for 5 years.  If a property manager’s been around for 5 years, and they have a web site, chances are numerous landlords and/or renters have reviewed them and rated them on the Internet.  The more pages there are that link back to their website, the more favorable they rank on the Google, Bing (formerly MSN or Live), and Yahoo search results.  Just an aside, Yahoo just got purchased by Microsoft.  Did you know that there’s a barometer you can use to measure just how popular any given website is?

When Google was first starting out, they came up with a barometer index to give a relative measurement of how popular given websites were.  This barometer index is one of the methods they use to determine how close to the top of search results your website should come.  Nowadays, they use more than just this ‘page rank’ to determine it, but back when they were first starting out, it was the main yard stick.  The official name is the ‘Google PageRank‘ index.  If you’d like to see the Google PageRank of each website you visit, the easiest way to do it, is to install the Google Toolbar (the link should work for both Firefox and Internet Explorer users).

The idea of Google PageRank, is that when your website first hits the Internet, it starts out with a Google PageRank of ‘NA’, or Not Available.  From there it starts at ‘0′, and works its way all the way up to 10, with 10 being the most popular website on the Internet (it’s not Google).  So, there you have it…try it on your own website as well, to see how well your Internet marketing efforts are working!  You may also consider Realtors’ PageRank before you hire them to showcase your property for sale.

“To begin is the most important part of any quest, and by far, the most courageous.”

- Plato

Daniel Lynes and Julia Lee

Morgan Stanley’s Commercial Real Estate Portfolio Is The Worst On The Street

Author: admin / Category: US Economy, US Real Estate

How large is Morgan Stanley’s exposure to commercial real estate? It’s very difficult to tell, actually.

As we learned during the horrors of 2008, there are so many ways for banks to hide their exposure to certain asset classes. In fact, many banks were so good at concealing their exposure that their own management had no idea what they owned.

This morning’s Wall Street Journal notes that Morgan Stanley has about $18 billion in exposure in just one unit–the institutional securities unit–to commercial real estate. Some of that might be hedged, although until we know how Morgan Stanley is hedging these risks that’s no much to go on. The days have long since passed when banks could simply announce a position was “hedged” or “hedged with CDS” and expect investors to feel reassured.

via Morgan Stanley’s Commercial Real Estate Portfolio Is The Worst On The Street.

Spanish Rents Fall in Worst Housing Glut Since 1950s

Author: admin / Category: Spain Real Estate

Arancha Ibarra considers herself one of the lucky victims of Spain’s housing collapse.

After struggling to find a buyer for her renovated two- bedroom apartment in Madrid for two years, Ibarra found a tenant for 750 euros ($1,066) a month, becoming one of the 1.5 million second-home owners thrust onto the country’s rental market.

The number of properties for rent in Spain climbed 55 percent in the past two years to 3.3 million, the highest since the Ministry of Housing started collecting the data in 2004. Rents in cities, including Madrid and Barcelona, are falling for the first time in seven years with declines of as much as 8 percent, according to Madrid-based property research firm Idealista.com.

“Those who need to sell but can’t are being forced to lease,” said Fernando Encinar, co-founder and head of research at Idealista.com, Spain’s largest real estate Web site with 308,000 listings for rent and purchase. “We haven’t seen this number of properties for rent since the 1950s.”

via Spanish Rents Fall in Worst Housing Glut Since 1950s (Update1) – Bloomberg.com.

Russian Millionaires Return to US Real Estate

Author: admin / Category: International Real Estate, New York Real Estate

Russian millionaires are returning to the United States property market, lured by distressed sales and the ruble’s rise against the dollar, lawyer Edward Mermelstein said.

“The way many look at the United States right now is that it’s a bargain,” said Mermelstein, who has arranged about 300 real estate deals for buyers from the former Soviet Union since 2007.

Manhattan apartment prices dropped for the first time since 2002 in the second quarter as the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings and Bear Stearns caught up to property owners in the United States’ most expensive urban market.

The ruble has rallied about 13 percent against the dollar from this year’s low in February.

via The Moscow Times | Issue 4192 | Business | Millionaires Return to US Real Estate.

Multifamily Financial Distress Doubles – Distressed Assets – Multifamily Executive Magazine

Author: admin / Category: US Economy, US Real Estate

Distress is piling up in the multifamily market, but it’s still not as bad the other real estate sectors, according to the most recent Troubled Assets Radar from Real Capital Analytics (RCA), a New York-based research firm that tracks commercial real estate.

According to the report, which measures assets in default, foreclosure, or bankruptcy, to date in 2009, 588 apartment communities, totaling $8.1 billion, fell into distress. Overall, 1,133 apartment communities, totaling $17.7 billion, were in trouble across the country.

Those numbers don’t surprise Debbie Corson, a principal at Atlanta-based Apartment Realty Advisors. “We’re getting a lot of calls and doing a lot of opinions of values for lenders, special servicers, and owners who are trying to figure out where the market is and what the value of these assets are,” she says.

via Multifamily Financial Distress Doubles – Distressed Assets – Multifamily Executive Magazine.

Going green pays dividends

Author: admin / Category: Building Industry

McKinsey & Company’s report, The Case for Investing in Energy Efficiency, shows that US$170-billion can be invested in energy efficiency projects globally for 13 years with an average internal rate of return (IRR) of 17%, which will generate US$900-billion of annual savings by 2020.

Just how good an investment is energy efficiency? To benchmark it, the long-term average return for investing in the stock market is 10% and for real estate, 16%. So energy efficiency gives a better rate of return than the two things we’ve always been told generate long-term, proven returns.

via Going green pays dividends.

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